NDP seat good points in Quebec amid robust polling numbers: political scientist
McGill political science professor Antonia Maioni informed CTV’s Energy Play that if the New Democrats proceed to dominate polls in Quebec, the get together may even see a end result that tops its beautiful efficiency in 2011.
“What’s interesting right now is that the NDP numbers are better than they were even in 2011,” mentioned Maioni. “If the trend continues, the NDP could be looking at seat gains in Quebec.”
In accordance with the newest Nanos Analysis weekly poll monitoring, the NDP has taken a robust lead in Quebec at 37 per cent, with the Liberals at 28 per cent and the Bloc at 19 per cent. The Conservatives path behind within the province with 12 per cent assist.
Maioni predicts that the lesser-known MPs elected in 2011 as part of the NDP’s “Orange Crush” will assist the get together once more this fall, as they experience the “second wave of the NDP.”
“They’ve made their name known in their ridings,” mentioned Maioni, who as soon as taught a few of the youngest NDP MPs, often known as the “McGill four.”
“They’ve gone from being what we call lamp posts to actually being engaged members of Parliament. And I think that’s a testament to their energy and also the NDP’s deeper commitment to Quebec.”
All three get together leaders have been spending a big period of time in Quebec, attempting to ramp up assist forward of the Oct. 19 vote.
However at this level, Maioni doubts whether or not these efforts are working for Conservative Chief Stephen Harper, who’s campaigning in Quebec this week.
“Seat gains are probably a little less certain than Mr. Harper and the Conservatives would have hoped for going into this election campaign,” mentioned Maioni. “However, Mr. Harper hasn’t given up on Quebec.”
Maioni says Harper continues to be banking on not less than sustaining seats within the Quebec Metropolis space, the place many “blue voters” reside.
And he or she doubts that the Liberals will achieve any new seats.
“The Liberals have been on the road to nowhere in Quebec for quite a while now. Not sure that they are going to do much better than that rump of Montreal seats.”